Publications

Intensification of extreme precipitation across the Tibetan Plateau and its climatic drivers over 1982−2020

Yiming Song, Shiqin Xu^†, Dennis P Lettenmaier, Hylke E Beck, Xiaodong Chen, Zhongbo Yu, Ningpeng Dong, Qian Cao, Xiaolei Fu, Zhe Yang, Yuliang Zhang, Matthew F. McCabe

Global and Planetary Change 2026

High-resolution projections of extreme heat and thermal stress in southeastern U.S.

Shuhua Lu, Khanh Do, Yang Zhang^†, Xiaodong Chen, Ruby Leung, Michelle L. Bell

Weather and Climate Extremes 2026

Hourly Precipitation Intensities at 4-km Resolution Show Statistically Significant Increasing Trends From 1991 to 2022 in the CONUS-404 Hydroclimate Reanalysis

Clément Guilloteau^†, Xiaodong Chen, L. Ruby Leung, Efi Foufoula-Georgiou

Geophysical Research Letters 2025

Impact of El Niño-Southern Oscillation and Madden-Julian Oscillation on the US Puget Sound Regional Hydroclimate

Xiaodong Chen^†, L. Ruby Leung^†, Ning Sun

Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 2025

ENSO and MJO phases 6-7, two major global modes of variability, affect regional hydroclimate conditions and modulate the extreme events

Seasonal compound renewable energy droughts in the Unites States

Cameron Bracken^†, Nathalie Voisin, Youngjun Son, Sha Feng, Osten Anderson, Xiaodong Chen, He Li, Konstantinos Oikonomou

Environmental Research: Energy 2025

Amplified Mesoscale and Submesoscale Variability and Increased Concentration of Precipitation under Global Warming over Western North America

Clément Guilloteau^†, Xiaodong Chen, L. Ruby Leung, Efi Foufoula-Georgiou

Journal of Climate 2025

How Might the May 2015 Flood in the U.S. Southern Great Plains Induced by Clustered MCSs Unfold in the Future?

Zhe Feng^†, Xiaodong Chen, L. Ruby Leung

Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 2024

Understanding the Influence of Urban Form on the Spatial Pattern of Precipitation

Yanle Lu, Zhou Yu, John D Albertson, Haonan Chen, Leiqiu Hu, Angeline Pendergrass, Xiaodong Chen, Qi Li^†

Earth's Future 2024

Characterizing the uncertainty of CMORPH products for estimating orographic precipitation over Northern California

Zhe Li^†, Haonan Chen^†, Robert Cifelli, Pingping Xie, Xiaodong Chen

Journal of Hydrology 2024

More high-impact atmospheric river-induced extreme precipitation events under warming in a high-resolution model

Xiuwen Guo, Yang Gao^†, Shaoqing Zhang, Wenju Cai, L. Ruby Leung, Jian Lu, Xiaodong Chen, Jakob Zscheischler, Luanne Thompson, Bin Guan, Jonathan Rutz, Chuncheng Guo, Wenbin Kou, Wenxuan Cheng, Huiwang Gao, Lixin Wu

One Earth 2024

Summertime Near-Surface Temperature Biases Over the Central United States in Convection-Permitting Simulations

Hongchen Qin, Stephen A Klein, Hsi-Yen Ma^†, Kwinten Van Weverberg, Zhe Feng, Xiaodong Chen, Martin Best, Huancui Hu, L. Ruby Leung, Cyril J Morcrette, Heather Rumbold, Stuart Webster

Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 2023

Antecedent Hydrometeorological Conditions of Wildfire Occurrence in the Western U.S. in a Changing Climate

Xiaodong Chen^†, L. Ruby Leung^†, Lu Dong

Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 2023

More Frequent and Persistent Heatwaves Due To Increased Temperature Skewness Projected by a High-Resolution Earth System Model

Yang Gao^†, Yubing Wu, Xiuwen Guo, Wenbin Kou, Shaoqing Zhang, L. Ruby Leung, Xiaodong Chen, Jian Lu, Noah S Diffenbaugh, Daniel E Horton, Xiaohong Yao, Huiwang Gao, Lixin Wu

Geophysical Research Letters 2023

Response of Extreme Rainfall to Atmospheric Warming and Wetting: Implications for Hydrologic Designs Under a Changing Climate

Jinghan Zhang, Long Yang^†, Miao Yu, Xiaodong Chen

Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 2023

Moisture Sources of Precipitation in the Great Lakes Region: Climatology and Recent Changes

Zhao Yang^†, Yun Qian^†, Pengfei Xue, Jiali Wang, T C Chakraborty, William J Pringle, Jianfeng Li, Xiaodong Chen

Geophysical Research Letters 2023

Sharpening of cold-season storms over the western United States

Xiaodong Chen^†, L. Ruby Leung^†, Yang Gao, Ying Liu, Mark Wigmosta

Nature Climate Change 2023

Weather Systems Connecting Modes of Climate Variability to Regional Hydroclimate Extremes

Xiaodong Chen^†, L. Ruby Leung^†, Ning Sun

Geophysical Research Letters 2023

Potential Weakening of the June 2012 North American Derecho Under Future Warming Conditions

Jianfeng Li^†, Yun Qian^†, L. Ruby Leung, Xiaodong Chen, Zhao Yang, Zhe Feng

Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 2023

Contrasting Climatic Trends of Atmospheric River Occurrences Over East Asia

Qiang Wang, Long Yang^†, Yixin Yang, Xiaodong Chen^†

Geophysical Research Letters 2022

Contrasting Responses of Hailstorms to Anthropogenic Climate Change in Different Synoptic Weather Systems

Jiwen Fan^†, Yuwei Zhang, Jingyu Wang, Jong-Hoon Jeong, Xiaodong Chen, Shixuan Zhang, Yun Lin, Zhe Feng, Rebecca Adams-Selin

Earth's Future 2022

Climate Leads to Reversed Latitudinal Changes in Chinese Flood Peak Timing

Yixin Yang, Long Yang^†, Xiaodong Chen, Qiang Wang, Fuqiang Tian

Earth's Future 2022

Multiple Metrics Informed Projections of Future Precipitation in China

Lei Wang, Yun Qian^†, L. Ruby Leung, Xiaodong Chen^†, Chandan Sarangi, Jian Lu, Fengfei Song, Yang Gao, Guangxing Lin, Yaocun Zhang

Geophysical Research Letters 2021

Meteorological environments associated with California wildfires and their potential roles in wildfire changes during 1984-2017

Lu Dong^†, L. Ruby Leung, Yun Qian, Yufei Zou, Fengfei Song, Xiaodong Chen

Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 2021

Response of U.S. West Coast Mountain Snowpack to Local Sea Surface Temperature Perturbations: Insights from Numerical Modeling and Machine Learning

Xiaodong Chen^†, L. Ruby Leung^†, Yang Gao, Ying Liu

Journal of Hydrometeorology 2021

Response of Landfalling Atmospheric Rivers on the U.S. West Coast to Local Sea Surface Temperature Perturbations

Xiaodong Chen^†, L. Ruby Leung^†

Geophysical Research Letters 2020

Soil moisture and hydrology projections of the permafrost region-a model intercomparison

C G Andresen^†, D M Lawrence, C J Wilson, A David McGuire, C Koven, K Schaefer, E Jafarov, S Peng, Xiaodong Chen, I Gouttevin, E Burke, S Chadburn, D Ji, G Chen, D Hayes, W Zhang

Cryosphere 2020

Next-Generation Intensity-Duration-Frequency Curves for Climate-Resilient Infrastructure Design: Advances and Opportunities

Hongxiang Yan, Ning Sun, Xiaodong Chen, Mark S Wigmosta^†

Frontiers in Water 2020

Impact of Atmospheric Rivers on Surface Hydrological Processes in Western U.S. Watersheds

Xiaodong Chen^†, L. Ruby Leung^†, Mark Wigmosta, Marshall Richmond

Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 2019

A comprehensive evaluation of how ARs module land surface water budget over the western US, highlighting precipitation and snowmelt in runoff process.

A Framework to Delineate Precipitation-Runoff Regimes: Precipitation Versus Snowpack in the Western United States

Xiaodong Chen^†, Zhuoran Duan, L. Ruby Leung^†, Mark Wigmosta

Geophysical Research Letters 2019

Understanding future safety of DAMs in a changing climate

Xiaodong Chen, Faisal Hossain^†

Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 2019

Parallel Distributed Hydrology Soil Vegetation Model (DHSVM) using global arrays

William A. Perkins^†, Zhuoran Duan, Ning Sun, Mark Wigmosta, Marshall C. Richmond, Xiaodong Chen, L. Ruby Leung

Environmental Modelling and Software 2019

Atmospheric River–Induced Precipitation and Snowpack during the Western United States Cold Season

Hisham Eldardiry, Asif Mahmood, Xiaodong Chen, Faisal Hossain^†, Bart Nijssen, Dennis P Lettenmaier

Journal of Hydrometeorology 2019

Predictability of Extreme Precipitation in Western U.S. Watersheds Based on Atmospheric River Occurrence, Intensity, and Duration

Xiaodong Chen, L. Ruby Leung^†, Yang Gao, Ying Liu, Mark Wigmosta, Marshall Richmond

Geophysical Research Letters 2018

Understanding model-based probable maximum precipitation estimation as a function of location and seasons from atmospheric reanalysis

Xiaodong Chen, Faisal Hossain^†

Journal of Hydrometeorology 2018

Probable Maximum Precipitation in the U.S. Pacific Northwest in a Changing Climate

Xiaodong Chen, Faisal Hossain^†, L. Ruby Leung

Water Resources Research 2017

Establishing a Numerical Modeling Framework for Hydrologic Engineering Analyses of Extreme Storm Events

Xiaodong Chen, Faisal Hossain^†, L. Ruby Leung

Journal of Hydrologic Engineering 2017

Terrestrial ecosystem model performance in simulating productivity and its vulnerability to climate change in the northern permafrost region

Jianyang Xia^†, A David McGuire, David Lawrence, Eleanor Burke, Guangsheng Chen, Xiaodong Chen, Christine Delire, Charles Koven, Andrew MacDougall, Shushi Peng, Annette Rinke, Kazuyuki Saito, Wenxin Zhang, Ramdane Alkama, Theodore J Bohn, Philippe Ciais, Bertrand Decharme, Isabelle Gouttevin, Tomohiro Hajima, Daniel J Hayes, Kun Huang, Duoying Ji, Gerhard Krinner, Dennis P Lettenmaier, Paul A Miller, John C Moore, Benjamin Smith, Tetsuo Sueyoshi, Zheng Shi, Liming Yan, Junyi Liang, Lifen Jiang, Qian Zhang, Yiqi Luo

Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences 2017

Understanding satellite-based monthly-to-seasonal reservoir outflow estimation as a function of hydrologic controls

M Bonnema, S Sikder, Y Miao, Xiaodong Chen, F Hossain^†, I Ara Pervin, S M Mahbubur Rahman, H Lee

Water Resources Research 2016

Maximizing hydropower generation with observations and numerical modeling of the atmosphere

Yabin Miao, Xiaodong Chen, Faisal Hossain^†

Journal of Hydrologic Engineering 2016

Revisiting Extreme Storms of the Past 100 Years for Future Safety of Large Water Management Infrastructures

Xiaodong Chen, Faisal Hossain^†

Earth's Future 2016

Variability in the sensitivity among model simulations of permafrost and carbon dynamics in the permafrost region between 1960 and 2009

A. David McGuire^†, Charles Koven, David M. Lawrence, Joy S. Clein, Jiangyang Xia, Christian Beer, Eleanor Burke, Guangsheng Chen, Xiaodong Chen, Christine Delire, Elchin Jafarov, Andrew H. MacDougall, Sergey Marchenko, Dmitry Nicolsky, Shushi Peng, Annette Rinke, Kazuyuki Saito, Wenxin Zhang, Ramdane Alkama, Theodore J. Bohn, Philippe Ciais, Bertrand Decharme, Altug Ekici, Isabelle Gouttevin, Tomohiro Hajima, Daniel J Hayes, Duoying Ji, Gerhard Krinner, Dennis P. Lettenmaier, Yiqi Luo, Paul A. Miller, John C. Moore, Vladimir Romanovsky, Christina Schädel, Kevin Schaefer, Edward A. G. Schuur, Benjamin Smith, Tetsuo Sueyoshi, Qianlai Zhuang

Global Biogeochemical Cycles 2016

Are general circulation models ready for operational streamflow forecasting for water management in the ganges and brahmaputra river Basins?

S Sikder, Xiaodong Chen, F Hossain^†, J B Roberts, F Robertson, C K Shum, F J Turk

Journal of Hydrometeorology 2016

Evaluation of air-soil temperature relationships simulated by land surface models during winter across the permafrost region

W Wang, A Rinke, J C Moore, D Ji^†, X Cui, S Peng, D M Lawrence, A D McGuire, E J Burke, Xiaodong Chen, B Decharme, C Koven, A MacDougall, K Saito, W Zhang, R Alkama, Theodore J Bohn, P Ciais, C Delire, I Gouttevin, T Hajima, G Krinner, Dennis P Lettenmaier, P A Miller, B Smith, T Sueyoshi, A B Sherstiukov

The Cryosphere 2016

Simulated high-latitude soil thermal dynamics during the past 4 decades

S Peng^†, P Ciais, G Krinner, T Wang, I Gouttevin, A D McGuire, D Lawrence, E Burke, Xiaodong Chen, B Decharme, C Koven, A MacDougall, A Rinke, K Saito, W Zhang, R Alkama, Theodore J Bohn, C Delire, T Hajima, D Ji, Dennis P Lettenmaier, P A Miller, J C Moore, B Smith, T Sueyoshi

The Cryosphere 2016

Model estimates of climate controls on pan-Arctic wetland methane emissions

Xiaodong Chen, Theodore J Bohn^†, Dennis P Lettenmaier

Biogeosciences 2015

A simplified, data-constrained approach to estimate the permafrost carbon–climate feedback

C D Koven^†, E A G Schuur, C Schädel, Theodore J Bohn, E J Burke, G Chen, Xiaodong Chen, P Ciais, G Grosse, J W Harden, D J Hayes, G Hugelius, E E Jafarov, G Krinner, P Kuhry, D M Lawrence, A H MacDougall, S S Marchenko, A D McGuire, S M Natali, D J Nicolsky, D Olefeldt, S Peng, V E Romanovsky, K M Schaefer, J Strauss, C C Treat, M Turetsky

Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences 2015

Assessment of model estimates of land-atmosphere CO2 exchange across Northern Eurasia

M A Rawlins^†, A D McGuire, J S Kimball, P Dass, D Lawrence, E Burke, Xiaodong Chen, C Delire, C Koven, A MacDougall, S Peng, A Rinke, K Saito, W Zhang, R Alkama, Theodore J Bohn, P Ciais, B Decharme, I Gouttevin, T Hajima, D Ji, G Krinner, Dennis P Lettenmaier, P Miller, J C Moore, B Smith, T Sueyoshi

Biogeosciences 2015

Modeling the large-scale effects of surface moisture heterogeneity on wetland carbon fluxes in the West Siberian Lowland

Theodore J Bohn, E Podest, R Schroeder, N Pinto, K C McDonald, M Glagolev, I Filippov, S Maksyutov, M Heimann, Xiaodong Chen, Dennis P Lettenmaier^†

Biogeosciences 2013